Old signs, new models — one honest page of weather, blended the almanac way.
Showing the Lab's home turf — Horseheads, New York — until you pick your own.
The lookup runs in your own browser against free public services; what you type is not stored, here or anywhere.
Bars show each day's low-to-high against the week's full range. Blue drops = chance of precipitation.
For Horseheads, New York: this page's model blend set against the local National Weather Service office's own call, each printed as its maker calls it. Where they disagree, both numbers stand — we do not average them away.
| Who's calling it | Today | Tomorrow |
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| Lining up the local calls… | ||
The modern blend — NOAA's GFS, Europe's ECMWF, Germany's ICON and more, merged by Open-Meteo — reads your week like this:
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The Old Farmer's Almanac winter outlook for 2026–27, summarized in our words for your region, the Lower Lakes:
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Coldest: …
Snowiest: …
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Old-timer's sign of the day:
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Gathering the individual model runs…
Anybody can print a forecast; the honest part is checking it. Each day we compare the high this page's model blend showed a day ahead for Horseheads against what the thermometer actually recorded at Elmira/Corning Regional Airport — station KELM, a few miles west of town. The running record:
Checking the station record…
A record of the recent past, not a promise about tomorrow — weather that behaved one way for a month can change its habits. The score is recomputed from the archived forecasts and the station's own reports each time this page loads. Forecast archive: Open-Meteo's previous model runs. Station history: Iowa State University's IEM archive of the KELM ASOS reports. Today's readings: the National Weather Service.
Everybody from the coffee shop to the weather boards is talking about the same driver this winter: a strong El Niño. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center gives it better than 90% odds of reaching "very strong" through the winter of 2026–27 — the kind that usually tilts the country milder, with wetter weather across parts of the West and South. The Almanac's own recipe adds a waning solar cycle and a warm Atlantic to the pot. Take any single sign with a grain of salt; taken together, they draw the map below.
Sources: NOAA Climate Prediction Center · National Weather Service
The Almanac divides the country into 18 weather regions. Your region is highlighted. One line each, in our words — the full forecast is theirs.
| Region | The winter in one line |
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